THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

United States → Spain

This score represents United States's relationship toward Spain. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

USA → ESP+49Partner95% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
ESP → USA+49PartnerSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security+95

3 documented factors produce the +95 security assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +60Continuing NATO collective-defence obligation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Spain and the United States remained bound by Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty.

  2. +25Permanent crisis force and missile-defence posture
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The amended defence agreement made the Morón crisis-response presence permanent and complemented U.S. missile-defence ships at Rota and extensive joint training.

  3. +10Strategic relationship updated
    Active event · 2022

    The new joint declaration broadened defence, democratic, climate, migration and economic cooperation and supported an expanded naval posture at Rota.

Diplomacy+50

2 documented factors produce the +50 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +35Long-standing bilateral partnership
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The official head-of-state meeting documented a durable relationship grounded in long historical and societal links.

  2. +15Strategic relationship updated
    Active event · 2022

    The new joint declaration broadened defence, democratic, climate, migration and economic cooperation and supported an expanded naval posture at Rota.

Economic+25

2 documented factors produce the +25 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  2. +5Strategic relationship updated
    Active event · 2022

    The new joint declaration broadened defence, democratic, climate, migration and economic cooperation and supported an expanded naval posture at Rota.

Alignment+10

1 documented factor produce the +10 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Strategic relationship updated
    Active event · 2022

    The new joint declaration broadened defence, democratic, climate, migration and economic cooperation and supported an expanded naval posture at Rota.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed 2015 records show long historical links but do not meet the frozen national-scale exchange threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+40 in 2015 → +49 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

+9

Strategic relationship updated

The new joint declaration broadened defence, democratic, climate, migration and economic cooperation and supported an expanded naval posture at Rota.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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