United States → Syria
This score represents United States's relationship toward Syria. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish a frozen bilateral security rule or mutual-defence obligation.
2 documented factors produce the -20 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- -50Severe diplomatic ruptureBaseline rule · 2015
By 2015 ordinary relations with the Assad government had broken down amid conflict, sanctions and suspended embassy operations.
- +30Political transition brings broad sanctions reliefActive event · 2025
After the fall of the Assad regime, the United States revoked broad Syria sanctions effective July 2025 while retaining targeted accountability measures.
2 documented factors produce the -5 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- -40Broad sanctions and economic disruptionBaseline rule · 2015
Broad U.S. sanctions constrained major economic dealings with the Syrian government in 2015.
- +35Political transition brings broad sanctions reliefActive event · 2025
After the fall of the Assad regime, the United States revoked broad Syria sanctions effective July 2025 while retaining targeted accountability measures.
3 documented factors produce the -60 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- -50Opposing strategic alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
U.S. policy and the Assad government's conduct placed the parties on opposing sides of the central Syrian security conflict.
- -30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- +20Political transition brings broad sanctions reliefActive event · 2025
After the fall of the Assad regime, the United States revoked broad Syria sanctions effective July 2025 while retaining targeted accountability measures.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish an active bilateral territorial claim or a qualifying settled-order rule.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish a national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.
-30 in 2015 → -15 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
United States → Syria and Syria → United States remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Political transition brings broad sanctions relief
After the fall of the Assad regime, the United States revoked broad Syria sanctions effective July 2025 while retaining targeted accountability measures.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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