United States → Thailand
This score represents United States's relationship toward Thailand. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
3 documented factors produce the +100 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +60Formal mutual-defense commitmentBaseline rule · 2015
The Manila Pact and subsequent bilateral commitments continued to anchor the formal U.S.-Thailand alliance.
- +25Deep operational defense cooperationBaseline rule · 2015
Despite post-coup restrictions, the alliance retained extensive exercises, training, access and security cooperation, including Cobra Gold.
- +15Alliance modernization restored high-level momentumActive event · 2022
The defense leaders reaffirmed the treaty alliance and advanced modernization, interoperability and regional cooperation.
3 documented factors produce the +35 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- -15Military coup strained political relationsBaseline rule · 2015
The 2014 coup triggered U.S. legal restrictions, suspended assistance and reduced some high-level engagement during 2015.
- +35Long-standing alliance endured political strainBaseline rule · 2015
The official review continued to describe Thailand as a long-time treaty ally and important regional partner despite the coup-related rupture.
- +15Alliance modernization restored high-level momentumActive event · 2022
The defense leaders reaffirmed the treaty alliance and advanced modernization, interoperability and regional cooperation.
2 documented factors produce the +35 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +20Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
- +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
1 documented factor produce the -30 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- -30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
1 documented factor produce the +15 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Stable bilateral order without territorial claimsBaseline rule · 2015
Political friction concerned domestic governance and assistance restrictions, not an active bilateral territorial dispute.
1 documented factor produce the +5 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- +5Alliance modernization restored high-level momentumActive event · 2022
The defense leaders reaffirmed the treaty alliance and advanced modernization, interoperability and regional cooperation.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish a national-scale exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.
+32 in 2015 → +42 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
United States → Thailand and Thailand → United States remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Alliance modernization restored high-level momentum
The defense leaders reaffirmed the treaty alliance and advanced modernization, interoperability and regional cooperation.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →