Venezuela → Argentina
This score represents Venezuela's relationship toward Argentina. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen security rule for the 2015 baseline.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not activate an additional frozen bilateral diplomatic rule for the 2015 baseline.
2 documented factors produce the 0 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Shared MERCOSUR integration frameworkBaseline rule · 2015
Argentina and the counterpart participated in MERCOSUR's standing customs, trade and economic-integration framework in the 2015 baseline.
- -15Venezuela is suspended from MERCOSURActive event · 2016
Venezuela's suspension ended its ordinary participation in MERCOSUR decision-making and integration mechanisms, offsetting the shared 2015 institutional baseline without implying a bilateral rupture.
3 documented factors produce the +10 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Shared MERCOSUR political frameworkBaseline rule · 2015
Argentina and the counterpart participated in MERCOSUR's intergovernmental coordination framework in 2015; this is not a defence alliance.
- +15United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- -15Venezuela is suspended from MERCOSURActive event · 2016
Venezuela's suspension ended its ordinary participation in MERCOSUR decision-making and integration mechanisms, offsetting the shared 2015 institutional baseline without implying a bilateral rupture.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: No qualifying frozen dispute or dispute-settlement rule is activated by the reviewed evidence.
No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.
Why this score?
The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.
Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish the exceptional or strong exchange required by a frozen societal rule.
+6 in 2015 → +2 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
0 points
Venezuela → Argentina and Argentina → Venezuela remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Venezuela is suspended from MERCOSUR
Venezuela's suspension ended its ordinary participation in MERCOSUR decision-making and integration mechanisms, offsetting the shared 2015 institutional baseline without implying a bilateral rupture.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
Explore the full timeline and sources in the atlas →