THE WORLD, CONNECTED
RELACIÓN DIRECCIONAL · 2026

India → China

Esta puntuación representa la relación de India hacia China. La dirección inversa se calcula de forma independiente.

IND → CHN-10Competitiva95% de confianza
CHN → IND-15Competitiva5 puntos de diferencia
MODELO DE SEIS COMPONENTES

Puntuaciones actuales

Los valores van de −100 a +100 y se combinan con los pesos publicados.

Seguridad-43

4 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -40India faces an unresolved militarized boundary with China
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The joint statement treats boundary settlement as a strategic objective and records military-facing confidence mechanisms pending resolution.

  2. +15Border defence confidence mechanisms
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The parties committed to military exchanges, a headquarters hotline and additional border meeting points.

  3. -40LAC crisis and Galwan clash
    Active event · 2020 · resumen original

    Attempts to alter the status quo and the lethal Galwan confrontation sharply worsen security and diplomacy.

  4. +22Depsang and Demchok disengagement
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    The patrolling arrangement resolves the 2020 friction points while the broader boundary dispute remains.

Diplomacia+13

5 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +20Prime-ministerial visit expands the partnership
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Prime Minister Modi’s China visit produced a broad joint statement and twenty-four governmental agreements.

  2. +10Dense institutional dialogue
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The relationship included leader, strategic, border, economic, military, provincial and people-to-people mechanisms.

  3. -15Boundary, visa and river concerns remain
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The official visit record acknowledges unresolved differences that required continued management.

  4. -28LAC crisis and Galwan clash
    Active event · 2020 · resumen original

    Attempts to alter the status quo and the lethal Galwan confrontation sharply worsen security and diplomacy.

  5. +26Depsang and Demchok disengagement
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    The patrolling arrangement resolves the 2020 friction points while the broader boundary dispute remains.

Economía+35

4 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +15Commercial agreements and development mechanisms
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The annual report records twenty-six commercial agreements worth approximately $22bn alongside governmental cooperation.

  2. -15Large trade imbalance remains a concern
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    India raised its growing trade deficit and sought improved market access during the leaders’ talks.

  3. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  4. +15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026 · resumen original

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Disputas-45

4 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -50Boundary settlement remains unresolved
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Both parties formally identified the boundary question as an outstanding strategic issue requiring political settlement.

  2. +15Formal boundary-management architecture
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Special Representatives, working mechanisms and border protocols provided institutional dispute management.

  3. -30LAC crisis and Galwan clash
    Active event · 2020 · resumen original

    Attempts to alter the status quo and the lethal Galwan confrontation sharply worsen security and diplomacy.

  4. +20Depsang and Demchok disengagement
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    The patrolling arrangement resolves the 2020 friction points while the broader boundary dispute remains.

Vínculos sociales+10

2 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +20Education, youth, pilgrimage and cultural exchanges
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The parties expanded education programs, annual youth exchanges, pilgrimage access and cultural institutions.

  2. -10LAC crisis and Galwan clash
    Active event · 2020 · resumen original

    Attempts to alter the status quo and the lethal Galwan confrontation sharply worsen security and diplomacy.

CAMBIO DESDE 2015

-4 en 2015 → -10 en 2026

El cambio procede de acontecimientos documentados y reglas fijas, no de ajustes editoriales retrospectivos.

Interprétalo con cautela

Esta puntuación analítica no es un hecho objetivo, una recomendación ni una predicción. La confianza refleja la cobertura de evidencia y las diferencias inferiores a cinco puntos son empates prácticos.

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