THE WORLD, CONNECTED
RELACIÓN DIRECCIONAL · 2026

Rusia → Ucrania

Esta puntuación representa la relación de Rusia hacia Ucrania. La dirección inversa se calcula de forma independiente.

RUS → UKR-100Hostile / conflict95% de confianza
UKR → RUS-100Hostile / conflictSin diferencia significativa
MODELO DE SEIS COMPONENTES

Puntuaciones actuales

Los valores van de −100 a +100 y se combinan con los pesos publicados.

Seguridad-100

3 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -70Continuing armed conflict in eastern Ukraine
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    UN human-rights monitoring documented ongoing hostilities and their civilian consequences throughout 2015.

  2. -50Full-scale invasion
    Active event · 2022 · resumen original

    The UN General Assembly identifies aggression against Ukraine and demands Russian withdrawal.

  3. -10War and territorial contest persist
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    Continuing sanctions and official records confirm that the active-war condition remains unresolved.

Diplomacia-100

2 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -50Ordinary relations displaced by conflict diplomacy
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    International diplomacy centred on sanctions and Minsk implementation after Russia’s actions against Ukraine’s territorial integrity.

  2. -50Full-scale invasion
    Active event · 2022 · resumen original

    The UN General Assembly identifies aggression against Ukraine and demands Russian withdrawal.

Economía-95

5 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -40Broad economic sanctions and trade disruption
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    EU measures targeted finance, energy, defence and dual-use exchange in response to Russia’s destabilising role.

  2. +20Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  3. -45Full-scale invasion
    Active event · 2022 · resumen original

    The UN General Assembly identifies aggression against Ukraine and demands Russian withdrawal.

  4. -10War and territorial contest persist
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    Continuing sanctions and official records confirm that the active-war condition remains unresolved.

  5. -20Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026 · resumen original

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Alineamiento internacional-85

2 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -50Opposing positions on Ukraine’s territorial order
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The UN resolution reaffirming Ukraine’s borders captures the central strategic rupture between the two states.

  2. -35Full-scale invasion
    Active event · 2022 · resumen original

    The UN General Assembly identifies aggression against Ukraine and demands Russian withdrawal.

Disputas-100

3 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -80Attempted change to Crimea’s status rejected
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The General Assembly affirmed Ukraine’s territorial integrity and declared the Crimea referendum invalid.

  2. -50Full-scale invasion
    Active event · 2022 · resumen original

    The UN General Assembly identifies aggression against Ukraine and demands Russian withdrawal.

  3. -10War and territorial contest persist
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    Continuing sanctions and official records confirm that the active-war condition remains unresolved.

Vínculos sociales-85

2 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -40Civilian harm and displacement
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    UN monitoring recorded conflict-related casualties, displacement and rights violations affecting communities across Ukraine.

  2. -45Full-scale invasion
    Active event · 2022 · resumen original

    The UN General Assembly identifies aggression against Ukraine and demands Russian withdrawal.

CAMBIO DESDE 2015

-70 en 2015 → -100 en 2026

El cambio procede de acontecimientos documentados y reglas fijas, no de ajustes editoriales retrospectivos.

Interprétalo con cautela

Esta puntuación analítica no es un hecho objetivo, una recomendación ni una predicción. La confianza refleja la cobertura de evidencia y las diferencias inferiores a cinco puntos son empates prácticos.

Explorar la cronología y las fuentes en el mapa →