Iran → Saudi Arabia
This score represents Iran's relationship toward Saudi Arabia. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
2 documented factors produce the -15 security assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restoredActive event · 2023
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
- -30Regional attacks renew bilateral security frictionActive event · 2026
Current official records preserve the source government's distinct account of attacks, responsibility and regional escalation after the earlier normalization.
Coverage gap: Iran's reviewed 2015 record documented regional political opposition but did not meet the frozen major-security-rivalry criterion.
3 documented factors produce the +10 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- -15Regional intervention and competing security positions produced serious political frictionBaseline rule · 2015
Regional intervention and competing security positions produced serious political friction.
- +45Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restoredActive event · 2023
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
- -20Regional attacks renew bilateral security frictionActive event · 2026
Current official records preserve the source government's distinct account of attacks, responsibility and regional escalation after the earlier normalization.
1 documented factor produce the +15 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restoredActive event · 2023
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
Coverage gap: 2015 goods trade was below the frozen material-trade threshold.
1 documented factor produce the +30 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
2 documented factors produce the -5 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restoredActive event · 2023
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
- -20Regional attacks renew bilateral security frictionActive event · 2026
Current official records preserve the source government's distinct account of attacks, responsibility and regional escalation after the earlier normalization.
Coverage gap: No frozen-v1 territorial rule was activated for the bilateral relationship.
1 documented factor produce the +10 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restoredActive event · 2023
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
Coverage gap: Reviewed official sources did not establish national-scale people-to-people programs.
+2 in 2015 → +4 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
16 points
Iran → Saudi Arabia and Saudi Arabia → Iran remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restored
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
Regional attacks renew bilateral security friction
Current official records preserve the source government's distinct account of attacks, responsibility and regional escalation after the earlier normalization.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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