Saudi Arabia → Iran
This score represents Saudi Arabia's relationship toward Iran. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
3 documented factors produce the -55 security assessment.
Why this score?
- -40Saudi official policy identified sustained Iranian regional conduct as a security challengeBaseline rule · 2015
Saudi official policy identified sustained Iranian regional conduct as a security challenge.
- +15Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restoredActive event · 2023
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
- -30Regional attacks renew bilateral security frictionActive event · 2026
Current official records preserve the source government's distinct account of attacks, responsibility and regional escalation after the earlier normalization.
4 documented factors produce the -5 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- -15Regional intervention and competing security positions produced serious political frictionBaseline rule · 2015
Regional intervention and competing security positions produced serious political friction.
- -15Official correspondence documented an unresolved bilateral maritime-negotiation disputeBaseline rule · 2015
Official correspondence documented an unresolved bilateral maritime-negotiation dispute.
- +45Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restoredActive event · 2023
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
- -20Regional attacks renew bilateral security frictionActive event · 2026
Current official records preserve the source government's distinct account of attacks, responsibility and regional escalation after the earlier normalization.
1 documented factor produce the +15 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restoredActive event · 2023
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
Coverage gap: 2015 goods trade was below the frozen material-trade threshold.
1 documented factor produce the +30 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- +30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
2 documented factors produce the -5 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- +15Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restoredActive event · 2023
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
- -20Regional attacks renew bilateral security frictionActive event · 2026
Current official records preserve the source government's distinct account of attacks, responsibility and regional escalation after the earlier normalization.
Coverage gap: No frozen-v1 territorial rule was activated for the bilateral relationship.
1 documented factor produce the +10 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- +10Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restoredActive event · 2023
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
Coverage gap: Reviewed official sources did not establish national-scale people-to-people programs.
-14 in 2015 → -12 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
16 points
Saudi Arabia → Iran and Iran → Saudi Arabia remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Diplomatic relations and formal cooperation are restored
The Beijing agreement reopened embassies and reactivated security and general-cooperation agreements; implementation records confirm renewed exchanges.
Regional attacks renew bilateral security friction
Current official records preserve the source government's distinct account of attacks, responsibility and regional escalation after the earlier normalization.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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