THE WORLD, CONNECTED
DIRECTIONAL RELATIONSHIP · 2026

Lithuania → China

This score represents Lithuania's relationship toward China. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.

LTU → CHN-10Competitive79% evidence confidenceBroad sourced evidence
CHN → LTU-10CompetitiveSymmetric current scores
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL

Current component scores

Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.

Security0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed official record does not establish a frozen mutual-defence or exceptional-security rule.

Diplomacy-40

2 documented factors produce the -40 diplomacy assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Recurring institutional dialogue
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The official bilateral record supports the frozen recurring institutional dialogue criterion for China and Lithuania in 2015.

  2. -50Diplomatic relations downgraded to chargé d'affaires level
    Active event · 2021

    The official record documents this post-2015 change in relations between China and Lithuania; it is not backdated into the baseline.

Economic-5

2 documented factors produce the -5 economic assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Institutional economic cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The official bilateral record supports the frozen institutional economic cooperation criterion for China and Lithuania in 2015.

  2. -20Diplomatic relations downgraded to chargé d'affaires level
    Active event · 2021

    The official record documents this post-2015 change in relations between China and Lithuania; it is not backdated into the baseline.

Alignment-10

2 documented factors produce the -10 alignment assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +10Sustained multilateral cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The official bilateral record supports the frozen sustained multilateral cooperation criterion for China and Lithuania in 2015.

  2. -20Diplomatic relations downgraded to chargé d'affaires level
    Active event · 2021

    The official record documents this post-2015 change in relations between China and Lithuania; it is not backdated into the baseline.

Disputes+5

2 documented factors produce the +5 disputes assessment.

Why this score?
  1. +15Managed and non-territorial bilateral order
    Baseline rule · 2015

    The official bilateral record supports the frozen managed and non-territorial bilateral order criterion for China and Lithuania in 2015.

  2. -10Diplomatic relations downgraded to chargé d'affaires level
    Active event · 2021

    The official record documents this post-2015 change in relations between China and Lithuania; it is not backdated into the baseline.

Societal0

No reviewed evidence met this component’s scoring threshold.

Why this score?

The model starts every component at zero. No documented condition or active event currently changes this one.

Coverage gap: The reviewed record does not establish national-scale people-to-people exchange meeting the frozen societal threshold.

CHANGE SINCE 2015

+8 in 2015 → -10 in 2026

The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.

ACTIVE EVIDENCE

Events affecting the current score

-18

Diplomatic relations downgraded to chargé d'affaires level

The official record documents this post-2015 change in relations between China and Lithuania; it is not backdated into the baseline.

Interpret with care

This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.

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