United States → Russia
This score represents United States's relationship toward Russia. The reverse direction is calculated separately and shown alongside it.
SIX-COMPONENT MODEL
Current component scores
Component values run from −100 to +100 and are combined with the published weights.
2 documented factors produce the -85 security assessment.
Why this score?
- -40Russian military posture challenges European securityBaseline rule · 2015
The U.S. strategy identifies Russia's aggression and strategic capabilities as a sustained challenge requiring deterrence and reassurance.
- -45Full-scale invasion produces systemic confrontationActive event · 2022
The United States responds to Russia's invasion with extensive sanctions and large-scale security support for Ukraine.
3 documented factors produce the -30 diplomacy assessment.
Why this score?
- +20Obama–Putin meeting maintains direct diplomacyBaseline rule · 2015
The presidents met at the United Nations with Ukraine and implementation of the Minsk agreements as the central bilateral issue.
- -15Ukraine drives serious political frictionBaseline rule · 2015
The White House documented an isolation policy and sanctions in response to Russia's continuing actions in eastern Ukraine.
- -35Full-scale invasion produces systemic confrontationActive event · 2022
The United States responds to Russia's invasion with extensive sanctions and large-scale security support for Ukraine.
4 documented factors produce the -85 economic assessment.
Why this score?
- -40Sectoral sanctions remain activeBaseline rule · 2015
U.S. sanctions imposed costs in response to Russia's actions against Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity.
- +20Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
- -45Full-scale invasion produces systemic confrontationActive event · 2022
The United States responds to Russia's invasion with extensive sanctions and large-scale security support for Ukraine.
- -20Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
3 documented factors produce the -100 alignment assessment.
Why this score?
- -50Opposing positions on the European security orderBaseline rule · 2015
The U.S. strategy places the countries on opposing sides of Ukraine's sovereignty and the rules against territorial aggression.
- -30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- -30Full-scale invasion produces systemic confrontationActive event · 2022
The United States responds to Russia's invasion with extensive sanctions and large-scale security support for Ukraine.
The displayed value is limited to the model’s −100 to +100 component range.
1 documented factor produce the -25 disputes assessment.
Why this score?
- -25Full-scale invasion produces systemic confrontationActive event · 2022
The United States responds to Russia's invasion with extensive sanctions and large-scale security support for Ukraine.
Coverage gap: The central 2015 dispute concerned Russia's actions in Ukraine rather than a bilateral U.S.–Russia territorial claim; no frozen Disputes rule matched without conflating the relationships.
1 documented factor produce the -10 societal assessment.
Why this score?
- -10Full-scale invasion produces systemic confrontationActive event · 2022
The United States responds to Russia's invasion with extensive sanctions and large-scale security support for Ukraine.
Coverage gap: The reviewed 2015 official records did not activate a frozen v1 societal rule.
-28 in 2015 → -67 in 2026
The change is generated from sourced events and frozen scoring rules, not retrospective editorial adjustment.
7 points
United States → Russia and Russia → United States remain independent assessments.
View the reverse direction →ACTIVE EVIDENCE
Events affecting the current score
Full-scale invasion produces systemic confrontation
The United States responds to Russia's invasion with extensive sanctions and large-scale security support for Ukraine.
This analytical score is not an objective fact, endorsement or prediction. Confidence reflects evidence coverage, while incomplete or unavailable observations remain explicit. Differences below 5 points are treated as practical ties rather than a meaningful ranking.
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