THE WORLD, CONNECTED
RELACIÓN DIRECCIONAL · 2026

China → Japón

Esta puntuación representa la relación de China hacia Japón. La dirección inversa se calcula de forma independiente.

CHN → JPN-18Competitiva95% de confianza
JPN → CHN-27Competitiva9 puntos de diferencia
MODELO DE SEIS COMPONENTES

Puntuaciones actuales

Los valores van de −100 a +100 y se combinan con los pesos publicados.

Seguridad-40

1 factor documentado explica esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -40Japanese security policy raises concern
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    China's defence white paper identified Japan's changing military and security posture as a grave regional concern.

Diplomacia+10

5 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +20Leader contact supports gradual improvement
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Official reporting records leader and ministerial contacts during an improving but still difficult relationship.

  2. +10Multiple high-level and maritime dialogues
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The countries maintained leader, foreign-minister and maritime consultation channels during 2015.

  3. -15History and maritime friction remain
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Official records describe persistent political tension alongside improving contacts.

  4. -15Fukushima water dispute escalates
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    China strongly opposes Japan's ocean discharge decision, producing a continuing diplomatic and economic dispute.

  5. +10Monitoring agreement moderates Fukushima dispute
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    Multiple consultations produce a monitoring and sampling arrangement without eliminating China's underlying objection.

Economía+13

4 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +35Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  2. -15Fukushima water dispute escalates
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    China strongly opposes Japan's ocean discharge decision, producing a continuing diplomatic and economic dispute.

  3. +8Monitoring agreement moderates Fukushima dispute
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    Multiple consultations produce a monitoring and sampling arrangement without eliminating China's underlying objection.

  4. -15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026 · resumen original

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Disputas-77

5 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -50Diaoyu/Senkaku sovereignty dispute
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Both governments maintained incompatible sovereignty positions over the islands and surrounding waters.

  2. -40Maritime control remains contested
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    China's official position treats Japan's administrative actions as unilateral coercion affecting Chinese territorial interests.

  3. +15Maritime crisis-management consultations
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The two sides continued negotiations on a maritime and air communication mechanism to prevent escalation.

  4. -10Fukushima water dispute escalates
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    China strongly opposes Japan's ocean discharge decision, producing a continuing diplomatic and economic dispute.

  5. +8Monitoring agreement moderates Fukushima dispute
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    Multiple consultations produce a monitoring and sampling arrangement without eliminating China's underlying objection.

Vínculos sociales+10

2 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +20Substantial societal exchange
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Official reporting records expanding tourism, youth and local exchanges despite political tension.

  2. -10Fukushima water dispute escalates
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    China strongly opposes Japan's ocean discharge decision, producing a continuing diplomatic and economic dispute.

CAMBIO DESDE 2015

-15 en 2015 → -18 en 2026

El cambio procede de acontecimientos documentados y reglas fijas, no de ajustes editoriales retrospectivos.

Interprétalo con cautela

Esta puntuación analítica no es un hecho objetivo, una recomendación ni una predicción. La confianza refleja la cobertura de evidencia y las diferencias inferiores a cinco puntos son empates prácticos.

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