THE WORLD, CONNECTED
RELACIÓN DIRECCIONAL · 2026

Japón → China

Esta puntuación representa la relación de Japón hacia China. La dirección inversa se calcula de forma independiente.

JPN → CHN-27Competitiva95% de confianza
CHN → JPN-18Competitiva9 puntos de diferencia
MODELO DE SEIS COMPONENTES

Puntuaciones actuales

Los valores van de −100 a +100 y se combinan con los pesos publicados.

Seguridad-65

2 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -40Japan identifies sustained regional and maritime security pressure
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Japan's official reporting documents persistent East China Sea security concerns and activity around the Senkaku Islands.

  2. -25East China Sea security pressure intensifies
    Active event · 2021 · resumen original

    Japan records sustained concern about unilateral maritime activity and the security environment around the Senkaku Islands.

Diplomacia+2

6 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +20Leader contact supports gradual improvement
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Official reporting records leader and ministerial contacts during an improving but still difficult relationship.

  2. +10Multiple high-level and maritime dialogues
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The countries maintained leader, foreign-minister and maritime consultation channels during 2015.

  3. -15History and maritime friction remain
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Official records describe persistent political tension alongside improving contacts.

  4. -8East China Sea security pressure intensifies
    Active event · 2021 · resumen original

    Japan records sustained concern about unilateral maritime activity and the security environment around the Senkaku Islands.

  5. -15Fukushima water dispute escalates
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    China strongly opposes Japan's ocean discharge decision, producing a continuing diplomatic and economic dispute.

  6. +10Monitoring agreement moderates Fukushima dispute
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    Multiple consultations produce a monitoring and sampling arrangement without eliminating China's underlying objection.

Economía+28

3 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +35Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  2. -15Fukushima water dispute escalates
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    China strongly opposes Japan's ocean discharge decision, producing a continuing diplomatic and economic dispute.

  3. +8Monitoring agreement moderates Fukushima dispute
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    Multiple consultations produce a monitoring and sampling arrangement without eliminating China's underlying objection.

Disputas-92

6 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -50Diaoyu/Senkaku sovereignty dispute
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Both governments maintained incompatible sovereignty positions over the islands and surrounding waters.

  2. -40Maritime control remains contested
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    China's official position treats Japan's administrative actions as unilateral coercion affecting Chinese territorial interests.

  3. +15Maritime crisis-management consultations
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The two sides continued negotiations on a maritime and air communication mechanism to prevent escalation.

  4. -15East China Sea security pressure intensifies
    Active event · 2021 · resumen original

    Japan records sustained concern about unilateral maritime activity and the security environment around the Senkaku Islands.

  5. -10Fukushima water dispute escalates
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    China strongly opposes Japan's ocean discharge decision, producing a continuing diplomatic and economic dispute.

  6. +8Monitoring agreement moderates Fukushima dispute
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    Multiple consultations produce a monitoring and sampling arrangement without eliminating China's underlying objection.

Vínculos sociales+10

2 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +20Substantial societal exchange
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Official reporting records expanding tourism, youth and local exchanges despite political tension.

  2. -10Fukushima water dispute escalates
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    China strongly opposes Japan's ocean discharge decision, producing a continuing diplomatic and economic dispute.

CAMBIO DESDE 2015

-15 en 2015 → -27 en 2026

El cambio procede de acontecimientos documentados y reglas fijas, no de ajustes editoriales retrospectivos.

Interprétalo con cautela

Esta puntuación analítica no es un hecho objetivo, una recomendación ni una predicción. La confianza refleja la cobertura de evidencia y las diferencias inferiores a cinco puntos son empates prácticos.

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