THE WORLD, CONNECTED
RELACIÓN DIRECCIONAL · 2026

China → Estados Unidos

Esta puntuación representa la relación de China hacia Estados Unidos. La dirección inversa se calcula de forma independiente.

CHN → USA-61Adversarial95% de confianza
USA → CHN-57AdversarialSin diferencia significativa
MODELO DE SEIS COMPONENTES

Puntuaciones actuales

Los valores van de −100 a +100 y se combinan con los pesos publicados.

Seguridad-100

5 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -40U.S. regional military posture raises concern
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    China's defence white paper identified the U.S. rebalance, military presence and alliances as major regional security concerns.

  2. +15Military safety and crisis guardrails
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The leaders completed operational safety annexes and strengthened crisis communications.

  3. -40U.S. strategy prioritises China
    Active event · 2021 · resumen original

    U.S. defence strategy deepens Beijing's perception of military pressure and strategic containment.

  4. -35Advanced semiconductor controls
    Active event · 2022 · resumen original

    U.S. national-security controls constrain Chinese technology access and industrial capacity.

  5. -8Technology controls broaden
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    Additional semiconductor manufacturing controls deepen the economic-security dispute.

Diplomacia+17

5 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +20State visit produces bilateral commitments
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The presidents documented cooperation across security, development, health, climate and bilateral relations.

  2. +10Standing strategic and economic dialogues
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Official records document recurring senior channels with concrete outcomes during 2015.

  3. -15Cyber and maritime friction remains
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The state-visit record documents material unresolved disputes despite extensive dialogue.

  4. -12Section 301 tariffs imposed
    Active event · 2018 · resumen original

    U.S. tariffs turn economic friction into a durable coercive instrument from China's direction.

  5. +14High-level dialogue resumes
    Active event · 2023 · resumen original

    Restored leader and working-level channels partly repair diplomacy without removing structural competition.

Economía-63

7 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +15Institutional economic cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The JCCT and Strategic and Economic Dialogue produced documented trade and investment outcomes.

  2. -15Material trade-policy disputes
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Official compliance records identify multiple consequential disputes across market access, investment and technology policy.

  3. +50Bilateral trade threshold
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

  4. -32Advanced semiconductor controls
    Active event · 2022 · resumen original

    U.S. national-security controls constrain Chinese technology access and industrial capacity.

  5. -52Section 301 tariffs imposed
    Active event · 2018 · resumen original

    U.S. tariffs turn economic friction into a durable coercive instrument from China's direction.

  6. -14Technology controls broaden
    Active event · 2024 · resumen original

    Additional semiconductor manufacturing controls deepen the economic-security dispute.

  7. -15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
    Annual recalculation · 2026 · resumen original

    The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

Alineamiento internacional-60

3 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. +10Broad global-issues cooperation
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    Joint commitments covered climate, development, peacekeeping, nuclear security, health and humanitarian response.

  2. -30United Nations voting alignment
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

  3. -40U.S. strategy prioritises China
    Active event · 2021 · resumen original

    U.S. defence strategy deepens Beijing's perception of military pressure and strategic containment.

Disputas-85

5 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.

¿Por qué esta puntuación?
  1. -40U.S. maritime presence viewed as coercive pressure
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    China's official strategy identified external surveillance and involvement in maritime disputes as a sustained challenge to its interests.

  2. -20Cyber conduct remains disputed
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The leaders addressed cyber-enabled theft and established an escalation mechanism.

  3. +15Cyber and military escalation guardrails
    Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

    The parties adopted hotlines, expert dialogue and operational safety measures to manage escalation risks.

  4. -25U.S. strategy prioritises China
    Active event · 2021 · resumen original

    U.S. defence strategy deepens Beijing's perception of military pressure and strategic containment.

  5. -15Advanced semiconductor controls
    Active event · 2022 · resumen original

    U.S. national-security controls constrain Chinese technology access and industrial capacity.

CAMBIO DESDE 2015

-7 en 2015 → -61 en 2026

El cambio procede de acontecimientos documentados y reglas fijas, no de ajustes editoriales retrospectivos.

Interprétalo con cautela

Esta puntuación analítica no es un hecho objetivo, una recomendación ni una predicción. La confianza refleja la cobertura de evidencia y las diferencias inferiores a cinco puntos son empates prácticos.

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