Estados Unidos → China
Esta puntuación representa la relación de Estados Unidos hacia China. La dirección inversa se calcula de forma independiente.
MODELO DE SEIS COMPONENTES
Puntuaciones actuales
Los valores van de −100 a +100 y se combinan con los pesos publicados.
5 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- -40Military modernization challenges U.S. advantagesBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
The Defense Department assessed that Chinese modernization and regional contingencies could reduce core U.S. military advantages.
- +15Air-safety and crisis-communication measuresBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
The state visit completed new confidence-building annexes for air-to-air safety and crisis communications.
- -35China becomes the pacing security challengeActive event · 2021 · resumen original
U.S. defence strategy prioritises China as the principal long-term military and strategic challenge.
- -32Advanced semiconductor controlsActive event · 2022 · resumen original
National-security export controls restrict advanced computing and semiconductor capabilities.
- -8Technology controls broadenActive event · 2024 · resumen original
Additional semiconductor manufacturing controls deepen the economic-security dispute.
5 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- +20Xi state visit produces bilateral commitmentsBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
The presidents documented cooperation across security, development, health, climate and bilateral relations.
- +10Standing economic and strategic dialoguesBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
Official records document recurring senior economic and strategic channels with concrete 2015 outcomes.
- -15Serious cyber-security friction remainsBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
Leader-level commitments addressed unresolved cyber theft and malicious cyber activity, indicating material political friction despite dialogue.
- -10Section 301 tariffs imposedActive event · 2018 · resumen original
Additional U.S. tariffs turn economic friction into a durable coercive instrument.
- +16High-level dialogue resumesActive event · 2023 · resumen original
Restored leader and working-level channels partly repair diplomacy without removing structural competition.
7 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- +15Institutional economic cooperationBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
The JCCT and Strategic and Economic Dialogue produced documented trade and investment outcomes.
- -15Material WTO compliance disputesBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
USTR identified persistent disputes involving intellectual property, state-owned enterprises, services, agriculture and transparency.
- +50Bilateral trade thresholdBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.
- -28Advanced semiconductor controlsActive event · 2022 · resumen original
National-security export controls restrict advanced computing and semiconductor capabilities.
- -48Section 301 tariffs imposedActive event · 2018 · resumen original
Additional U.S. tariffs turn economic friction into a durable coercive instrument.
- -12Technology controls broadenActive event · 2024 · resumen original
Additional semiconductor manufacturing controls deepen the economic-security dispute.
- -15Annual methodology 1.1 recalculationAnnual recalculation · 2026 · resumen original
The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.
3 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- +10Broad global-issues cooperationBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
Joint commitments covered climate, development, peacekeeping, nuclear security, public health and humanitarian response.
- -30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- -35China becomes the pacing security challengeActive event · 2021 · resumen original
U.S. defence strategy prioritises China as the principal long-term military and strategic challenge.
5 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- -40Coercive maritime behaviorBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
The Defense Department documented low-intensity coercion and growing tensions in East and South China Sea disputes.
- -20Cyber-enabled theft disputeBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
The presidents addressed cyber-enabled theft of intellectual property and established an escalation mechanism.
- +15Cyber and military escalation guardrailsBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
The parties adopted hotlines, expert dialogue and operational safety measures to manage escalation risks.
- -25China becomes the pacing security challengeActive event · 2021 · resumen original
U.S. defence strategy prioritises China as the principal long-term military and strategic challenge.
- -12Advanced semiconductor controlsActive event · 2022 · resumen original
National-security export controls restrict advanced computing and semiconductor capabilities.
1 factor documentado explica esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- +20National-scale education and tourism initiativesBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
The Tourism Year and One Million Strong initiatives sought to expand travel and Mandarin education.
-7 en 2015 → -57 en 2026
El cambio procede de acontecimientos documentados y reglas fijas, no de ajustes editoriales retrospectivos.
4 puntos
Las direcciones USA → CHN y CHN → USA son evaluaciones independientes.
Ver la dirección inversa →Esta puntuación analítica no es un hecho objetivo, una recomendación ni una predicción. La confianza refleja la cobertura de evidencia y las diferencias inferiores a cinco puntos son empates prácticos.
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