Estados Unidos → Irán
Esta puntuación representa la relación de Estados Unidos hacia Irán. La dirección inversa se calcula de forma independiente.
MODELO DE SEIS COMPONENTES
Puntuaciones actuales
Los valores van de −100 a +100 y se combinan con los pesos publicados.
3 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- -40Official policy treated the other state as a sustained security challenge despite nuclear diplomacyBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
Official policy treated the other state as a sustained security challenge despite nuclear diplomacy.
- -60Direct war ends in a ceasefireActive event · 2026 · resumen original
Operation Epic Fury produced sustained direct hostilities before the April ceasefire; the current snapshot retains the recent-lethal-clash ceiling rather than an active-war cap.
- +10Iran and the United States sign a post-war memorandumActive event · 2026 · resumen original
The June memorandum establishes a new nuclear and navigation guardrail while detailed implementation remains unsettled.
4 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- -15Sanctions, distrust and regional policy remained serious bilateral frictionBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
Sanctions, distrust and regional policy remained serious bilateral friction.
- -45Direct war ends in a ceasefireActive event · 2026 · resumen original
Operation Epic Fury produced sustained direct hostilities before the April ceasefire; the current snapshot retains the recent-lethal-clash ceiling rather than an active-war cap.
- -25U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA restores nuclear sanctionsActive event · 2018 · resumen original
Withdrawal and phased sanctions reimposition removed the principal 2015 diplomatic guardrail.
- +25Iran and the United States sign a post-war memorandumActive event · 2026 · resumen original
The June memorandum establishes a new nuclear and navigation guardrail while detailed implementation remains unsettled.
4 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- -40Broad U.S. financial and sectoral sanctions remained in force through JCPOA Adoption DayBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
Broad U.S. financial and sectoral sanctions remained in force through JCPOA Adoption Day.
- -25Direct war ends in a ceasefireActive event · 2026 · resumen original
Operation Epic Fury produced sustained direct hostilities before the April ceasefire; the current snapshot retains the recent-lethal-clash ceiling rather than an active-war cap.
- -35U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA restores nuclear sanctionsActive event · 2018 · resumen original
Withdrawal and phased sanctions reimposition removed the principal 2015 diplomatic guardrail.
- +10Iran and the United States sign a post-war memorandumActive event · 2026 · resumen original
The June memorandum establishes a new nuclear and navigation guardrail while detailed implementation remains unsettled.
Laguna de cobertura: Trade was below the material threshold; the sanctions rule captures the documented economic structure.
3 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- -50Official positions placed the states on opposing sides of central regional security questionsBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
Official positions placed the states on opposing sides of central regional security questions.
- -30United Nations voting alignmentBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.
- -20Direct war ends in a ceasefireActive event · 2026 · resumen original
Operation Epic Fury produced sustained direct hostilities before the April ceasefire; the current snapshot retains the recent-lethal-clash ceiling rather than an active-war cap.
4 factores documentados explican esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- +15The JCPOA created a verified formal mechanism for managing the nuclear disputeBaseline rule · 2015 · resumen original
The JCPOA created a verified formal mechanism for managing the nuclear dispute.
- -35Direct war ends in a ceasefireActive event · 2026 · resumen original
Operation Epic Fury produced sustained direct hostilities before the April ceasefire; the current snapshot retains the recent-lethal-clash ceiling rather than an active-war cap.
- -20U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA restores nuclear sanctionsActive event · 2018 · resumen original
Withdrawal and phased sanctions reimposition removed the principal 2015 diplomatic guardrail.
- +20Iran and the United States sign a post-war memorandumActive event · 2026 · resumen original
The June memorandum establishes a new nuclear and navigation guardrail while detailed implementation remains unsettled.
1 factor documentado explica esta puntuación.
¿Por qué esta puntuación?
- -20Direct war ends in a ceasefireActive event · 2026 · resumen original
Operation Epic Fury produced sustained direct hostilities before the April ceasefire; the current snapshot retains the recent-lethal-clash ceiling rather than an active-war cap.
Laguna de cobertura: No reviewed 2015 official source activated a frozen-v1 national-scale societal-exchange rule.
-33 en 2015 → -75 en 2026
El cambio procede de acontecimientos documentados y reglas fijas, no de ajustes editoriales retrospectivos.
0 puntos
Las direcciones USA → IRN y IRN → USA son evaluaciones independientes.
Ver la dirección inversa →Esta puntuación analítica no es un hecho objetivo, una recomendación ni una predicción. La confianza refleja la cobertura de evidencia y las diferencias inferiores a cinco puntos son empates prácticos.
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