Rusia → Estados Unidos

1. -40U.S. and NATO pressure identified as a security threat
   Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

   Russia's national security strategy identifies U.S. military systems, NATO expansion and political-military pressure as threats to Russian security.

   Security Council of the Russian Federation: National Security Strategy of the Russian Federation
2. -50War and Western support produce systemic confrontation
   Active event · 2022 · resumen original

   Russia's official address frames the United States and NATO as the central external security confrontation as the invasion begins.

   President of Russia: Address by the President of the Russian FederationThe White House (archived): United States Imposes Costs on Russia Following the Invasion of UkraineU.S. Department of Defense: U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine Fact Sheet

1. -15Russian strategy documents sustained U.S. pressure
   Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

   The official strategy describes political, economic, military and information pressure by the United States and its allies.

   Security Council of the Russian Federation: National Security Strategy of the Russian Federation
2. -40War and Western support produce systemic confrontation
   Active event · 2022 · resumen original

   Russia's official address frames the United States and NATO as the central external security confrontation as the invasion begins.

   President of Russia: Address by the President of the Russian FederationThe White House (archived): United States Imposes Costs on Russia Following the Invasion of UkraineU.S. Department of Defense: U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine Fact Sheet

1. -40U.S. sectoral sanctions constrain Russia
   Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

   U.S. sanctions created continuing financial and sectoral restrictions from Russia's directional perspective.

   The White House (archived): President Obama Announces New Ukraine-Related Sanctions
2. +20Bilateral trade threshold
   Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

   Reported trade activates the absolute methodology route using the latest observation available for this year.

   United Nations Statistics Division: UN Comtrade API
3. -50War and Western support produce systemic confrontation
   Active event · 2022 · resumen original

   Russia's official address frames the United States and NATO as the central external security confrontation as the invasion begins.

   President of Russia: Address by the President of the Russian FederationThe White House (archived): United States Imposes Costs on Russia Following the Invasion of UkraineU.S. Department of Defense: U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine Fact Sheet
4. -20Annual methodology 1.1 recalculation
   Annual recalculation · 2026 · resumen original

   The current component replaces the 2015 quantitative threshold or time-bounded structural package with the evidence applicable in the selected year.

   United Nations Statistics Division: UN Comtrade API

1. -50Opposing visions of the European security order
   Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

   Russia's strategy documents direct opposition to U.S. containment policy, NATO expansion and missile-defence deployments.

   Security Council of the Russian Federation: National Security Strategy of the Russian Federation
2. -30United Nations voting alignment
   Baseline rule · 2015 · resumen original

   A rolling three-year comparison of UN General Assembly votes activates the alignment threshold.

   UN Dag Hammarskjöld Library: United Nations General Assembly Voting Data, 1946–2025
3. -35War and Western support produce systemic confrontation
   Active event · 2022 · resumen original

   Russia's official address frames the United States and NATO as the central external security confrontation as the invasion begins.

   President of Russia: Address by the President of the Russian FederationThe White House (archived): United States Imposes Costs on Russia Following the Invasion of UkraineU.S. Department of Defense: U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine Fact Sheet

1. -25War and Western support produce systemic confrontation
   Active event · 2022 · resumen original

   Russia's official address frames the United States and NATO as the central external security confrontation as the invasion begins.

   President of Russia: Address by the President of the Russian FederationThe White House (archived): United States Imposes Costs on Russia Following the Invasion of UkraineU.S. Department of Defense: U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine Fact Sheet

Laguna de cobertura: The 2015 strategic confrontation involved third-country security questions rather than a bilateral territorial claim covered by the frozen Disputes rules.

1. -12War and Western support produce systemic confrontation
   Active event · 2022 · resumen original

   Russia's official address frames the United States and NATO as the central external security confrontation as the invasion begins.

   President of Russia: Address by the President of the Russian FederationThe White House (archived): United States Imposes Costs on Russia Following the Invasion of UkraineU.S. Department of Defense: U.S. Security Assistance to Ukraine Fact Sheet

Laguna de cobertura: The reviewed 2015 official records did not activate a frozen v1 societal rule.